Women’s College Basketball Final Four Best Bet (4/5/24)

Apr 5

Author: Dylan Lieck | April 5, 2024 | 7:47 P.M. CST

Best Bet: Iowa vs. UConn 1H UNDER 79

2 Units

UConn plays at an extremely slow pace compared to Iowa. I believe Geno (HC UConn) is going to really try to slow the game down, and where he tends to have success with gameplans is early on in games.
Iowa has had games this year where teams have tried to slow it down and had success and those teams have all been significantly worse than UConn defensively. The most notable was in the 2nd round against West Virginia, a game that didn’t sniff the total posted for this game
I do believe Iowa is going to find a way to win this game, and I think over the course of 40 minutes the Hawkeyes will be able to outscore UConn, who can go through offensive droughts at times. However, it’s not going to be a blowout either way, and a competitive game early only happens if this is a lower scoring game
Overall this game is likely not going to go over that total in the 160s, however, I don’t want to have to deal with fouls late in the game if it’s slightly over the total I expect. I also think you have two teams who will show some nerves early on and I believe it’s going to be a lower scoring first quarter.

Official Pick: Iowa/UCONN 1st Half UNDER 79 Points (-110)

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