NBA Best Bet (Wednesday, 4/3/24)
Author: Dylan Lieck | April 3, 2024 | 7:01 P.M. CST
I haven’t done much NBA this year, but with college basketball coming to a close, we’re going to look to exploit some different markets over the next couple months until football season starts back up again. I have traditionally had success in the NBA playoffs and late in the season being SELECTIVE. Playing a ton of NBA games and sides can get dicey, and it’s difficult to navigate some of the regular season with the lack of motivation for teams some nights. However, at this point we know who’s tanking, who’s competing, and which teams have internal issues. Thus, this is usually the time I start really looking into NBA games. Anyways, here is is my best bet for tonight’s NBA games. Sorry for the late post, but I’m looking towards the late game.
Best Bet: Phoenix Suns Team Total OVER 115.5 (-110)
2 Units
This is a huge game for the Suns in the grand scheme of their season, as they are in a three way tie (in the loss column) for the final actual playoff spot, meaning avoiding the play-in spot. Obviously having to play to get into the playoffs in a one-off game is something you want to avoid. Thus, this is a definite focus spot for the Suns. We also have an advantage here in the matchups tonight, as Isaac Okoro, the best perimeter defender for the Cavs has been battling an injury recently and will NOT suit up tonight. That’s a big loss for the Cavs. Through the first few months of the season, Cleveland was the best defense in the NBA, however they have fallen off a cliff recently. Part of it has to do with injuries, but also some negative regression. If you look at their last 5 games especially, teams have been absolutely TORCHING this defense from beyond the arc. The past 5 opponents have had 16, 21, 16, 13, and 15 made threes. Additionally all 5 teams have shot 40% or better (rounded up) from three, including a 64% night from the Nuggets, a game they nailed 21 triples. The Suns are going to have a big game from three. Greyson Allen is not going to suit up, but Royce O’Neal is a formidable replacement. And, with KD and Booker they won’t feel the loss of Allen much in this game.
We’ve seen some sharp money on the full game total here. And I don’t disagree with it, but with Donovan Mitchell playing with a broken nose (having to wear a mask), plus the loss of Okoro, and this Cavs team coming off a game last night, I’m worried the Cavs may not score enough to push this game over 226.5. I think it probably goes over, but I think the safer bet is looking at the Suns TT over. So that’s where we are going for tonight’s best bet. Best of luck and check back tomorrow. I will try to get my picks out by 5 P.M. from now on.
OFFICIAL BEST BET: Phoenix Suns Team Total OVER 115.5 (-110)
