NFL Best Bets (9/15/24)
Author: Dylan Lieck | September 15, 2024 | 2:18 A.M. CST
NFL Best Bets:
2 Team, 6 Point Teaser: Detroit Lions -1 | Denver Broncos +8.5 = 2-Star
The Lions have a significant offensive advantage against the Tampa Bay Bucs + they’re at home. Additionally, the Bucs have a trio of defensive players out. The Bucs SHOULD be able to put up points on the Lions, but this is not the Commanders in Tampa Bay week 1 against a Rookie QB and a brand new coaching staff. This is against a team that is quite possibly the SB Favorite in the NFC now with McCaffrey’s health in question. Additionally we’ve got the Broncos +8.5 I don’t think this team is good whatsoever, but I do think they’ll show better than they did last week. They stayed within this number last week ON THE ROAD, at Seattle, with Bo Nix making his first career start and throwing 2 picks. Now they get to play at home, against a team playing their 2nd consecutive road game, who failed to score a TD last week as a team. And they have to not only beat us, but they have to do so by more than a touchdown and a two point conversion. We’ll take this two team teaser for play number 1
2 Team, 6 Point Teaser: Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | Houston Texans PK = 2-Star
The Ravens are not starting 0-2, nor are they losing to the LV Raiders and Gardner Minshew at home. Additionally, the Houston Texans didn’t look great week 1. But the Bears had the most fraudalent win, probably in NFL history last week. Caleb Williams was autrocious, and the game is in Houston. Expect the rookie QB to look much better than week 1, but I’d be shocked to see the Bears actually pull out the win here.
2 Team, 6 Point Teaser: KC Chiefs PK | Denver Broncos +8.5 = 2-Star
Adding this play as well. The Broncos can keep this within 8.5 as mentioned above. The Chiefs and Bengals always play close games, but this version of the Bengals is just awful. I don’t see them hanging in there in KC.
Just Missed Card:
Detroit Lions TT OVER 30.5 (-105): I just think the Bucs are going to have immense trouble trying to contain this Lions offense, especially after a subpar outing in week 1 against the Rams. The Lions are going to hang 40 in this spot I believe. The number scared me. away from making this an official play
Falcons @ Eagles OVER 46.5 (-110): It’s hard for me to see how this game goes under. The Phili defense last week looked terrible against the pass, and that was with Jordan Love playing like he did early in the 2023 season. He had a bottom 5 QBR in week 1, and yet the Packers put up 29 points in a game 8 hours from home. Jayden Reed TORCHED the Eagles secondary for 138 yards and a TD on just 4 catches. The Packers put up 414 yards of total offense, including 7.1 yards per play (over 1.5 yards per play more than Phili). Really if it wasn’t for Saquon Barkley and the Packers struggles inside the 20 yard line of the Eagles, GB probably wins that game. On the other side you have the Falcons offense who was supposed to be much improved with Kirk Cousins and a new coaching staff. But they looked terrible week 1 at home against the Steelers. That said, the Steelers are a top 5 NFL defense. The Eagles are FAR FROM a Top 5 defense. So although Atlanta did not look good, I expect them to bounce back here. I think both offenses will put up a lot of points, and yet the total is not very high. The one reason I haven’t taken this is because I want to see the weather in Phili on Monday. This could be a potential added play if the weather holds Monday night.
