College Football Best Bet Summary Week 3
Author: Dylan Lieck | September 15, 2024 | 1:02 A.M. CST
After a rough start to the year on our official best bets (1-2 each of the first two weeks), we finally got in the winning column this week with a nice 4-2 Saturday. Add in the Friday night special (KST -7), and we are now up to 7-6 on the season despite the rough start to the year. I’ve had 5 straight seasons in CFB above 60% and I’m looking to make it 6 in a row. Hopefully this gets us back on the right track as we look to inch closer to .600 in week 4!!
Winners:
Miami/Ball State OVER 54: We only needed one team to score to get this one. Miami put up 62. I thought Ball State would put up at least 10, which would mean we’d only need 44 from Miami. Instead we got more than enough from the Canes alone. Biggest play of the day was a winner.
Texas Tech/North Texas OVER 68.5: Almost made this a 2-star, but still a nice winner on the total. We needed 69 to win the bet in the game. We got 59 in the first half. This was a rocking chair winner.
Indiana -3 @ UCLA: Another rocking chair winner here as the Hoosiers DEMOLISHED the Bruins at the Rose Bowl.
South Florida - 11 vs. Southern Miss: I have no clue how this line wasn’t closer to 18. If you watched the South Florida/Bama game last week, you’d know that this Bulls team damn near upset the Tide in Tuscaloosa. It was a 1 point game headed to the 4th, and a 5 point game with under 6 minutes to play. The final score was deceiving, and Southern Miss has a PUTRID defense. A nice late night addition. 4 Winners, none were close.
Losers:
Tulsa +18.5 @ Oki State: I watched Oki State get outgained by nearly 300 yards last week and somehow win against Arkansas. I also watched this Pokes team struggle to run the ball the first two games, and I thought Tulsa would be able to score on this defense after Arkansas torched them for over 650 total yards last week. Unfortunately, despite being the home team and having a QB who had shown well the first two weeks, Tulsa had ZERO offense. And although they were able to stop the run, they were horrific against the pass. Once they got in a big hole, there was no climbing out. They got killed, and this one was never close. Absolutely the wrong side in this specific game, but I’m going to continue to look to fade Oki State down the stretch. They could very easily be 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS, and they’re somehow 3-0 in both.
Hawaii +3.5 @ Sam Houston State: Not going to lie, I over thought this one. I had SHSU -4.5 on my card on Friday with a strong consideration on laying the 4. The market began to move against me and got as low as 3. I started to believe that I was wrong. And when I went back and dove into the box scores of their previous outings I convinced myself that I was on the wrong side. I also realized Hawaii off a bye has been pretty good in the past, as it negates some of the travel disadvantage. But I just made the wrong decision here. SHSU was the right side the whole way, and at the very least I should’ve stayed away from this one and just finished 4-1. Oh well, still a great weekend at 4-2. Can’t ask for better than that.
Check my most recent blog for my NFL Best Bets
Last week, a tough start. However we had Tennessee +4, who led by a score of 17-0. They led 17-3 at halftime, and by 7 entering the 4th. AND, Chicago didn’t score an offensive TD the entire game. In fact they had just 148 total yards in the game. And somehow, someway they covered, and cost us a loser. Keep in mind teams who led by 17 or more over the past decade, as a 4 point dog or bigger were 66-0-1 heading into last Sunday (now 66-1-1). Additionally teams leading by 17 or more in a game against a team that does not record an offensive touchdown? 1-302 (0.3%). We defied the odds last week. Hopefully we get on track week two.
