NFL Best Bets
Author: Dylan Lieck | November 3, 2024 | 2:07 A.M. CST
We went 3-0 in college football yesterday and we HIT A 43 to 1 PARLAY! Unbelievable day, and we’re up to 29-16 in CFB on the season, good for 64.4%! NFL we hit our Thursday play of the week on the New York Jets. We haven’t had the greatest year in the NFL but we’re getting back on track, 2-1 the last 2 weeks, including a 5-star winner on the Detroit Lions a couple weeks back. Let’s try to keep this streak going today!!
NFL Best Bets:
Best Bet #1: Minnesota Vikings +1 vs. Indianapolis Colts | Philadelphia Eagles -1 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Normally in the NFL, teasers have been the thing I’ve cashed at the highest rate (nearly 70% last season). However, we’ve been struggling this year with teasers. Because of the weirdness of the first 5 weeks of the season, as well as the poor outcomes on teasers playing advantage legs, we went away from teasers for the past month or so. But, today we’re going back to the well.
The Vikings are a team off two losses, playing at home in a place with the best homefield advantage in the league. I also believe the Colts are better with Joe Flacco, but this is an overreaction keeping this line below 7. Anthony Richardson is bad, but this team is not good anyways. Flacco will help, but the Vikings are in a good get right spot here. And they need a win to keep pace with the Lions.
The other leg, we’re going to fade the Jags who have basically given up on the season. Not only is Trevor Lawerence terrible, but the Jags have a bevy of injuries in key position groups. I in NO WAY love the Eagles, but I believe at home, against a BAD team already, now with a ton of injuries, playing against a fully healthy Eagles team who’s gaining confidence IN PHILI. Give me the Eagles to just win the game outright.
Official Pick: 2-Team, 6 Point Teaser: Vikings +1 | Eagles -1
Play Rating: 2-Star
Best Bet #2: Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons OVER 48.5
This is purely a fade of these two defenses. Betting Dallas Cowboys over this season has been very profitable against any team with a pulse on offense. The Falcons have more than a pulse. Kirk Cousins THRIVES against teams like the Cowboys. Dallas will likely be missing it’s top 2 corners, plus Micah Parsons. You look at all the injuries and Dallas should not be getting ANY pressure on Cousins and the secondary will have lots of trouble holding up against those really solid WRs.
On the other Atlanta is one of the worst pressure generating teams in the NFL. Ideally Atlanta gets a lead early and forces the Cowboys to play faster. You’d think Mike McCarthy would figure out after multiple games getting down big and going to the hurry up, that the Cowboys are better operating fast, up tempo, with pace. But he tends to not see these things. Even if he doesn’t, this should be a good spot for the Dallas offense. And, if CeeDee Lamb decides to play hard for more than a quarter, I think we get a real shootout here. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this go over by double digits. Let’s take the over here for our second best bet of the day.
Official Pick: Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons OVER 48.5
Play Rating: 2-Star
Best Bet #3: Detroit Lions -2.5 @ Green Bay Packers
