NFL Best Bet (9/6/24)
Author: Dylan Lieck | September 6, 2024 | 4:38 P.M. CST
Best Bet No. 1: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 vs. Green Bay Packers
The first edition of Friday Night Football starts tonight in Brazil and we’re going to look to the Philadelphia Eagles laying less than a field goal. Phili hasn’t lost a season opener since back in 2020, and is 2-0 under the current head coach, starting QB combo (Siriani & Hurts). Meanwhile the Packers have lost 2 of their last 3 openers, with their lone win coming last year against a Chicago Bears team led by Justin Fields; a Bears team the Packers have absolutely dominated twice a year for the past decade plus.
Additionally, the Eagles just tend to be better early in the year and worse later. Whereas the Packers have been the complete opposite under Matt LeFleur. The last two seasons the Eagles are 10-1 in their first 11 games. And that included last year with a terrible secondary and without half decent coordinators. I’m not super high on Kellen Moore, but he does tend to have good starts to the season, then fade off towards the end of the year as adjustments are needed. So better to get on the Eagles early here.
Lastly, I just don’t trust Jordan Love yet. He was awesome at the end of last year, there’s no denying that. But it’s such a small sample size. Legitimately he had 9 good games, and 9 terrible games last year. Now you pay him 200+ million, and you have guys on that roster who have been much better at their position for much longer and have not gotten paid. I’m very curious to see how Love looks out of the gate. I think this Eagles secondary is much improved, and I don’t see the Packers torching the Eagles like they would’ve had they met at the end of last season. On the other side of the ball, expect the Eagles to run it right down the Packers throats and hit some deep shots. AJ Brown is going to have a massive year. Add in that the public is all over Green Bay after what they saw at the end of last season, and the fact that the books got killed last night and need the Eagles here. Everything here says Phili. I’ve loved this play for weeks, and it feels like an even better spot now the way the last week has played out. Give me Phili all day laying less than a field goal. There are some 2’s out there, but we’ll call it 2.5 for grading purposes. Shouldn’t matter much as long as we’re below that key of 3. Best of luck!!
Official Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-110)
Play Rating: 2-Star Play (1% Bankroll Bet)
