College Basketball 2023-2024 Season Summary
Author: Dylan Lieck | March 10, 2024 | 5:02 A.M. CST
The regular season in college basketball is coming to a close. A number of conferences finished regular season play today, with a few more finishing up over the next few days. A number of conferences have already began their tournaments, and we’ve even had a ticket punched to the big dance with the Morehead Eagles out of the OVC. As the season finishes up, I will still be posting plays, but I wanted to give a quick summary of where I am for the year. All these plays are posted in this blog and time stamped so feel free to go back and look at previous articles and postings. Last year was my best year ever in college basketball as a handicapper, finishing over 70% in conference play. However, I was more selective last season, and as the sample size increases it’s obviously impossible to maintain that percentage over a multiple year sample. The good thing is, we still had a GREAT year this season. Thanks for all those who followed my picks for the season. Hopefully we will have an awesome couple of weeks in conference tourneys and the NCAA Tourney. However, I do want to caution people, that as we get into these tournaments it can be much more difficult to predict. It’s possible that last year was an anomaly, but I did not have a good tournament. After an INCREDIBLE college basketball REGULAR season, I had a really brutal stretch in March. I just wanted to say that because it can be really easy to see all those great games on the board and feel like you have to play every one. AND it’s easy to bet MORE than you normally do on the tournament. Only place a bet on these games if you feel you have an edge. And stick to the same wager amounts that you’ve played all season. I have had runs in March that have been super profitable, and I’ve had runs in March that have resulted in losses (and last year significant losses). They call it March Madness for a reason. You get into these one off games with teams who are not familiar with each other and there can be quite a bit of variance. Don’t let a couple of weeks determine the profit of your season. This should be bonus time, rather than the biggest time of the year to bet. Enough of me ranting about those things though, my record is listed below!!
Overall Season Record: 68-45-1 (60.2%)
3 Unit Plays (Highest Rated Plays): 4-0 (+12.0 Units)
2 Unit Plays: 42-27 (+24.6 Units)
1 Unit Plays: 22-26 (-6.6 Units)
Overall Unit Profit = +30.0 Units
A $50 bettor would be +$1,500
A $100 bettor would be +$3,000
A $500 bettor would be +$15,000
A $1,000 bettor would be + $30,000
Quick Breakdown: The one thing I’ve struggled with in the past that I’ve worked on quite a bit is understanding how to rate my plays. It is very interesting to see how the percentage of the rated plays worked out. Obviously I would love to have the 1-unit plays be positive as well, but it’s really nice to see that as the strength of the play increases, the percentage significantly increases. Ideally, the stronger the play the more likely it is to win, and that has been the case this season.
Once again, thanks for everyone who followed along and checked the page. As we close the book on another phenomenal college hoops season, we will now move into the MADNESS of March and if nothing else, it should be very entertaining!!
