PAID CBB Play of the Month Recap
Author: Dylan Lieck | February 3, 2024 | 4:35 A.M. CST
Because I have a select few people currently purchasing my top plays of the month, most of my 3-4 unit plays will not be posted on this website to the public until they are recapped following the game. If you wish to purchase these plays, please contact me at 210-836-8820. You’ll never pay for a play if it loses, only if it wins. And you will only get plays that I have bet myself at the numbers I officially can get.
Play of the Month Recap
Sport: College Basketball
Pick: Nebraska PK vs. #6 Wisconsin
Units: 3
Result: Winner
Summary:
For my official play of the month, a 3-unit paid play, we went back to a familiar spot, backing a BIG 10 team at home against a ranked opponent. The transfer portal has largely leveled the playing field in college hoops, and long gone are the days of backing the ranked road favorites to cover numbers. That said, this game was anything but easy. The plain, simple truth is that I knew going into this one that there was many possible paths to victory for Nebraska, and this was a TERRIFIC spot for them, while it was a terrible spot for Wisconsin.
The #6 Badgers have absolutely exceeded expectations this season, but I believe we reached the peak of their market value in this one, which is partially why I liked it. Wisconsin came into that game with only one conference loss, tied for first place in the Big 10. The team they were tied with, the Purdue Boilermakers, are coming to Madison on Sunday, so this was a classic look ahead spot. We add to that the gravity of the game for Nebraska, as the Cornuskers badly needed this win over a top 10 team to boost their NCAA Tournament Resume. Additionally, Nebraska got back Juwan Gary, one of their top players who had missed a significant amount of time. Nebraska was also 11-1 at home this season, and undefeated (a perfect 5-0) at home in conference. They have a very underrated home court advantage. So we have a healthy Nebraska team, at home where they are excellent, in a spot where they badly need a quality win, facing off against a Wisconsin team in a look ahead spot, who was due for a poor performance, playing on the road where they’ve been average this season so far. Lastly, add to the fact that the Cornhuskers already dismantled #1 Purdue at home earlier this season, and that was a Purdue team I feel is way better than Wisconsin (at least in terms of talent).
Unfortunately, the game could not have started more poorly for the Huskers. AJ Storr, the sophomore transfer from St. John’s for the Badgers, started the game off with back-to-back 3s, and scored Wisconsin’s first 10 points without missing from the field in that stretch. The Huskers dug themselves quite the first half hole, and despite a little run before halftime to cut it to single digits, the Badgers responded well and took a 16 point lead into halftime. Going into halftime, two things were true. One was last year, where the Huskers trailed AT WISCONSIN by 14 points, but came back to force overtime and win the game. Two was that since 2000, Wisconsin was 120-0 when leading by 15 or more at halftime (they led by 16). But, that doesn’t matter for our Huskers! They made a furious run, and their shots finally began falling. They were able to get the game back to even, before once again giving Wisconsin control of the game. They trailed by 7 with just 4 minutes to play, but found a way to go on an 11-4 run to finish regulation. The Badgers were able to score with just 20 seconds left to tie the game, and Nebraska couldn’t hit a buzzer beater, which led this one into overtime (advantage Nebraska).
In the overtime, Mast (Husker’s big man) took over the game with some huge buckets in the post down the stretch, and Nebraska pulled off the incredible comeback to win the game. It wasn’t pretty, and despite all the bad luck we’ve caught in football season this year (where we still finished over 64% in NFL and nearly 59% in college) we finally got one to go our way. Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. Or at least to not be unlucky.
Official Play’s of the Month Record: 2-0 (College Hoops) +6.0 Units
Check out my most recent blog post for my best bets for this SATURDAY as we have an absolutely LOADED SLATE!!